{"id":104,"slug":"2026-08-20-solana-launch-survival","day":"2026-08-20","project":"launchledger","title":"Solana launch survival — 2026-08-20","headline":"69.3% of Solana launches that reached real traction were still active 1d later (n=63884).","bullets":["1d: 69.3% still active (n=63884) — LP removed 15536, collapsed 3630, inactive 415","7d: 0.2% still active (n=56339) — LP removed 13022, collapsed 3210, inactive 39971","Cohort rule: a pool is followed only after it crosses $5k liquidity or $1k 24h volume — 74638 followed out of 160451 seen.","Outcomes are mechanical (liquidity vs in-window peak + 24h volume). Features are frozen at discovery, so the set has no lookahead."],"sample_n":63884,"payload":{"horizons":[{"horizon_days":1,"active":44303,"lp_removed":15536,"collapsed":3630,"inactive":415,"decided":63884},{"horizon_days":7,"active":136,"lp_removed":13022,"collapsed":3210,"inactive":39971,"decided":56339}],"cohort":74638,"seen":160451},"x_text":"Solana launch survival, 2026-08-20:\n\n1d — 69.3% still active (n=63884)\n7d — 0.2% still active (n=56339)\n\nOnly pools that crossed real traction are tracked. Outcomes are mechanical, features frozen at discovery.\nhttps://data.ochinimus.app/r/2026-08-20-solana-launch-survival","created_ts":1787209202}