{"id":173,"slug":"2026-09-03-solana-launch-survival","day":"2026-09-03","project":"launchledger","title":"Solana launch survival — 2026-09-03","headline":"70.2% of Solana launches that reached real traction were still active 1d later (n=96312).","bullets":["1d: 70.2% still active (n=96312) — LP removed 22643, collapsed 5406, inactive 698","7d: 0.2% still active (n=92177) — LP removed 20036, collapsed 5015, inactive 66907","30d: 0.1% still active (n=33640) — LP removed 8620, collapsed 1915, inactive 23060","Cohort rule: a pool is followed only after it crosses $5k liquidity or $1k 24h volume — 110454 followed out of 237360 seen.","Outcomes are mechanical (liquidity vs in-window peak + 24h volume). Features are frozen at discovery, so the set has no lookahead."],"sample_n":96312,"payload":{"horizons":[{"horizon_days":1,"active":67565,"lp_removed":22643,"collapsed":5406,"inactive":698,"decided":96312},{"horizon_days":7,"active":219,"lp_removed":20036,"collapsed":5015,"inactive":66907,"decided":92177},{"horizon_days":30,"active":45,"lp_removed":8620,"collapsed":1915,"inactive":23060,"decided":33640}],"cohort":110454,"seen":237360},"x_text":"Solana launch survival, 2026-09-03:\n\n1d — 70.2% still active (n=96312)\n7d — 0.2% still active (n=92177)\n30d — 0.1% still active (n=33640)\n\nOnly pools that crossed real traction are tracked. Outcomes are mechanical, features frozen at discovery.\nhttps://data.ochinimus.app/r/2026-09-03-solana-launch-survival","created_ts":1788418802}