{"id":193,"slug":"2026-09-07-solana-launch-survival","day":"2026-09-07","project":"launchledger","title":"Solana launch survival — 2026-09-07","headline":"69.5% of Solana launches that reached real traction were still active 1d later (n=104460).","bullets":["1d: 69.5% still active (n=104460) — LP removed 25093, collapsed 5898, inactive 865","7d: 0.2% still active (n=102439) — LP removed 22029, collapsed 5602, inactive 74564","30d: 0.1% still active (n=43554) — LP removed 10725, collapsed 2399, inactive 30380","Cohort rule: a pool is followed only after it crosses $5k liquidity or $1k 24h volume — 120096 followed out of 259982 seen.","Outcomes are mechanical (liquidity vs in-window peak + 24h volume). Features are frozen at discovery, so the set has no lookahead."],"sample_n":104460,"payload":{"horizons":[{"horizon_days":1,"active":72604,"lp_removed":25093,"collapsed":5898,"inactive":865,"decided":104460},{"horizon_days":7,"active":244,"lp_removed":22029,"collapsed":5602,"inactive":74564,"decided":102439},{"horizon_days":30,"active":50,"lp_removed":10725,"collapsed":2399,"inactive":30380,"decided":43554}],"cohort":120096,"seen":259982},"x_text":"Solana launch survival, 2026-09-07:\n\n1d — 69.5% still active (n=104460)\n7d — 0.2% still active (n=102439)\n30d — 0.1% still active (n=43554)\n\nOnly pools that crossed real traction are tracked. Outcomes are mechanical, features frozen at discovery.\nhttps://data.ochinimus.app/r/2026-09-07-solana-launch-survival","created_ts":1788764401}