{"id":218,"slug":"2026-09-12-solana-launch-survival","day":"2026-09-12","project":"launchledger","title":"Solana launch survival — 2026-09-12","headline":"68.9% of Solana launches that reached real traction were still active 1d later (n=115215).","bullets":["1d: 68.9% still active (n=115215) — LP removed 28153, collapsed 6609, inactive 1037","7d: 0.2% still active (n=114840) — LP removed 25122, collapsed 6271, inactive 83176","30d: 0.1% still active (n=56454) — LP removed 13336, collapsed 3117, inactive 39944","Cohort rule: a pool is followed only after it crosses $5k liquidity or $1k 24h volume — 132835 followed out of 288222 seen.","Outcomes are mechanical (liquidity vs in-window peak + 24h volume). Features are frozen at discovery, so the set has no lookahead."],"sample_n":115215,"payload":{"horizons":[{"horizon_days":1,"active":79416,"lp_removed":28153,"collapsed":6609,"inactive":1037,"decided":115215},{"horizon_days":7,"active":271,"lp_removed":25122,"collapsed":6271,"inactive":83176,"decided":114840},{"horizon_days":30,"active":57,"lp_removed":13336,"collapsed":3117,"inactive":39944,"decided":56454}],"cohort":132835,"seen":288222},"x_text":"Solana launch survival, 2026-09-12:\n\n1d — 68.9% still active (n=115215)\n7d — 0.2% still active (n=114840)\n30d — 0.1% still active (n=56454)\n\nOnly pools that crossed real traction are tracked. Outcomes are mechanical, features frozen at discovery.\nhttps://data.ochinimus.app/r/2026-09-12-solana-launch-survival","created_ts":1789196401}