{"id":233,"slug":"2026-09-15-solana-launch-survival","day":"2026-09-15","project":"launchledger","title":"Solana launch survival — 2026-09-15","headline":"68.2% of Solana launches that reached real traction were still active 1d later (n=121600).","bullets":["1d: 68.2% still active (n=121600) — LP removed 30514, collapsed 7005, inactive 1122","7d: 0.2% still active (n=122142) — LP removed 27037, collapsed 6734, inactive 88068","30d: 0.1% still active (n=64175) — LP removed 15079, collapsed 3502, inactive 45531","Cohort rule: a pool is followed only after it crosses $5k liquidity or $1k 24h volume — 140257 followed out of 304786 seen.","Outcomes are mechanical (liquidity vs in-window peak + 24h volume). Features are frozen at discovery, so the set has no lookahead."],"sample_n":121600,"payload":{"horizons":[{"horizon_days":1,"active":82959,"lp_removed":30514,"collapsed":7005,"inactive":1122,"decided":121600},{"horizon_days":7,"active":303,"lp_removed":27037,"collapsed":6734,"inactive":88068,"decided":122142},{"horizon_days":30,"active":63,"lp_removed":15079,"collapsed":3502,"inactive":45531,"decided":64175}],"cohort":140257,"seen":304786},"x_text":"Solana launch survival, 2026-09-15:\n\n1d — 68.2% still active (n=121600)\n7d — 0.2% still active (n=122142)\n30d — 0.1% still active (n=64175)\n\nOnly pools that crossed real traction are tracked. Outcomes are mechanical, features frozen at discovery.\nhttps://data.ochinimus.app/r/2026-09-15-solana-launch-survival","created_ts":1789455601}