{"id":238,"slug":"2026-09-16-solana-launch-survival","day":"2026-09-16","project":"launchledger","title":"Solana launch survival — 2026-09-16","headline":"68.1% of Solana launches that reached real traction were still active 1d later (n=123732).","bullets":["1d: 68.1% still active (n=123732) — LP removed 31167, collapsed 7152, inactive 1170","7d: 0.2% still active (n=124682) — LP removed 27611, collapsed 6883, inactive 89880","30d: 0.1% still active (n=66731) — LP removed 15731, collapsed 3653, inactive 47284","Cohort rule: a pool is followed only after it crosses $5k liquidity or $1k 24h volume — 142741 followed out of 310470 seen.","Outcomes are mechanical (liquidity vs in-window peak + 24h volume). Features are frozen at discovery, so the set has no lookahead."],"sample_n":123732,"payload":{"horizons":[{"horizon_days":1,"active":84243,"lp_removed":31167,"collapsed":7152,"inactive":1170,"decided":123732},{"horizon_days":7,"active":308,"lp_removed":27611,"collapsed":6883,"inactive":89880,"decided":124682},{"horizon_days":30,"active":63,"lp_removed":15731,"collapsed":3653,"inactive":47284,"decided":66731}],"cohort":142741,"seen":310470},"x_text":"Solana launch survival, 2026-09-16:\n\n1d — 68.1% still active (n=123732)\n7d — 0.2% still active (n=124682)\n30d — 0.1% still active (n=66731)\n\nOnly pools that crossed real traction are tracked. Outcomes are mechanical, features frozen at discovery.\nhttps://data.ochinimus.app/r/2026-09-16-solana-launch-survival","created_ts":1789542002}