{"id":258,"slug":"2026-09-20-solana-launch-survival","day":"2026-09-20","project":"launchledger","title":"Solana launch survival — 2026-09-20","headline":"67.5% of Solana launches that reached real traction were still active 1d later (n=132451).","bullets":["1d: 67.5% still active (n=132451) — LP removed 33351, collapsed 7717, inactive 2037","7d: 0.3% still active (n=134684) — LP removed 30425, collapsed 7522, inactive 96396","30d: 0.1% still active (n=77203) — LP removed 17584, collapsed 4149, inactive 55405","Cohort rule: a pool is followed only after it crosses $5k liquidity or $1k 24h volume — 153260 followed out of 332590 seen.","Outcomes are mechanical (liquidity vs in-window peak + 24h volume). Features are frozen at discovery, so the set has no lookahead."],"sample_n":132451,"payload":{"horizons":[{"horizon_days":1,"active":89346,"lp_removed":33351,"collapsed":7717,"inactive":2037,"decided":132451},{"horizon_days":7,"active":341,"lp_removed":30425,"collapsed":7522,"inactive":96396,"decided":134684},{"horizon_days":30,"active":65,"lp_removed":17584,"collapsed":4149,"inactive":55405,"decided":77203}],"cohort":153260,"seen":332590},"x_text":"Solana launch survival, 2026-09-20:\n\n1d — 67.5% still active (n=132451)\n7d — 0.3% still active (n=134684)\n30d — 0.1% still active (n=77203)\n\nOnly pools that crossed real traction are tracked. Outcomes are mechanical, features frozen at discovery.\nhttps://data.ochinimus.app/r/2026-09-20-solana-launch-survival","created_ts":1789887602}