{"id":263,"slug":"2026-09-21-solana-launch-survival","day":"2026-09-21","project":"launchledger","title":"Solana launch survival — 2026-09-21","headline":"67.3% of Solana launches that reached real traction were still active 1d later (n=134675).","bullets":["1d: 67.3% still active (n=134675) — LP removed 34128, collapsed 7839, inactive 2068","7d: 0.3% still active (n=137262) — LP removed 31311, collapsed 7660, inactive 97943","30d: 0.1% still active (n=79867) — LP removed 18129, collapsed 4312, inactive 57358","Cohort rule: a pool is followed only after it crosses $5k liquidity or $1k 24h volume — 155685 followed out of 338052 seen.","Outcomes are mechanical (liquidity vs in-window peak + 24h volume). Features are frozen at discovery, so the set has no lookahead."],"sample_n":134675,"payload":{"horizons":[{"horizon_days":1,"active":90640,"lp_removed":34128,"collapsed":7839,"inactive":2068,"decided":134675},{"horizon_days":7,"active":348,"lp_removed":31311,"collapsed":7660,"inactive":97943,"decided":137262},{"horizon_days":30,"active":68,"lp_removed":18129,"collapsed":4312,"inactive":57358,"decided":79867}],"cohort":155685,"seen":338052},"x_text":"Solana launch survival, 2026-09-21:\n\n1d — 67.3% still active (n=134675)\n7d — 0.3% still active (n=137262)\n30d — 0.1% still active (n=79867)\n\nOnly pools that crossed real traction are tracked. Outcomes are mechanical, features frozen at discovery.\nhttps://data.ochinimus.app/r/2026-09-21-solana-launch-survival","created_ts":1789974002}