{"id":283,"slug":"2026-09-25-solana-launch-survival","day":"2026-09-25","project":"launchledger","title":"Solana launch survival — 2026-09-25","headline":"67.1% of Solana launches that reached real traction were still active 1d later (n=143594).","bullets":["1d: 67.1% still active (n=143594) — LP removed 36693, collapsed 8340, inactive 2228","7d: 0.3% still active (n=147533) — LP removed 34579, collapsed 8375, inactive 104195","30d: 0.1% still active (n=89948) — LP removed 20108, collapsed 4862, inactive 64906","Cohort rule: a pool is followed only after it crosses $5k liquidity or $1k 24h volume — 166490 followed out of 360785 seen.","Outcomes are mechanical (liquidity vs in-window peak + 24h volume). Features are frozen at discovery, so the set has no lookahead."],"sample_n":143594,"payload":{"horizons":[{"horizon_days":1,"active":96333,"lp_removed":36693,"collapsed":8340,"inactive":2228,"decided":143594},{"horizon_days":7,"active":384,"lp_removed":34579,"collapsed":8375,"inactive":104195,"decided":147533},{"horizon_days":30,"active":72,"lp_removed":20108,"collapsed":4862,"inactive":64906,"decided":89948}],"cohort":166490,"seen":360785},"x_text":"Solana launch survival, 2026-09-25:\n\n1d — 67.1% still active (n=143594)\n7d — 0.3% still active (n=147533)\n30d — 0.1% still active (n=89948)\n\nOnly pools that crossed real traction are tracked. Outcomes are mechanical, features frozen at discovery.\nhttps://data.ochinimus.app/r/2026-09-25-solana-launch-survival","created_ts":1790319602}