{"id":298,"slug":"2026-09-28-solana-launch-survival","day":"2026-09-28","project":"launchledger","title":"Solana launch survival — 2026-09-28","headline":"67.2% of Solana launches that reached real traction were still active 1d later (n=150756).","bullets":["1d: 67.2% still active (n=150756) — LP removed 38324, collapsed 8708, inactive 2484","7d: 0.3% still active (n=155071) — LP removed 36716, collapsed 8804, inactive 109139","30d: 0.1% still active (n=97836) — LP removed 21543, collapsed 5297, inactive 70917","Cohort rule: a pool is followed only after it crosses $5k liquidity or $1k 24h volume — 174493 followed out of 377479 seen.","Outcomes are mechanical (liquidity vs in-window peak + 24h volume). Features are frozen at discovery, so the set has no lookahead."],"sample_n":150756,"payload":{"horizons":[{"horizon_days":1,"active":101240,"lp_removed":38324,"collapsed":8708,"inactive":2484,"decided":150756},{"horizon_days":7,"active":412,"lp_removed":36716,"collapsed":8804,"inactive":109139,"decided":155071},{"horizon_days":30,"active":79,"lp_removed":21543,"collapsed":5297,"inactive":70917,"decided":97836}],"cohort":174493,"seen":377479},"x_text":"Solana launch survival, 2026-09-28:\n\n1d — 67.2% still active (n=150756)\n7d — 0.3% still active (n=155071)\n30d — 0.1% still active (n=97836)\n\nOnly pools that crossed real traction are tracked. Outcomes are mechanical, features frozen at discovery.\nhttps://data.ochinimus.app/r/2026-09-28-solana-launch-survival","created_ts":1790578802}