{"id":303,"slug":"2026-09-29-solana-launch-survival","day":"2026-09-29","project":"launchledger","title":"Solana launch survival — 2026-09-29","headline":"67.1% of Solana launches that reached real traction were still active 1d later (n=153028).","bullets":["1d: 67.1% still active (n=153028) — LP removed 38951, collapsed 8849, inactive 2565","7d: 0.3% still active (n=157723) — LP removed 37360, collapsed 8962, inactive 110980","30d: 0.1% still active (n=100275) — LP removed 22063, collapsed 5453, inactive 72678","Cohort rule: a pool is followed only after it crosses $5k liquidity or $1k 24h volume — 177102 followed out of 383045 seen.","Outcomes are mechanical (liquidity vs in-window peak + 24h volume). Features are frozen at discovery, so the set has no lookahead."],"sample_n":153028,"payload":{"horizons":[{"horizon_days":1,"active":102663,"lp_removed":38951,"collapsed":8849,"inactive":2565,"decided":153028},{"horizon_days":7,"active":421,"lp_removed":37360,"collapsed":8962,"inactive":110980,"decided":157723},{"horizon_days":30,"active":81,"lp_removed":22063,"collapsed":5453,"inactive":72678,"decided":100275}],"cohort":177102,"seen":383045},"x_text":"Solana launch survival, 2026-09-29:\n\n1d — 67.1% still active (n=153028)\n7d — 0.3% still active (n=157723)\n30d — 0.1% still active (n=100275)\n\nOnly pools that crossed real traction are tracked. Outcomes are mechanical, features frozen at discovery.\nhttps://data.ochinimus.app/r/2026-09-29-solana-launch-survival","created_ts":1790665201}