{"id":308,"slug":"2026-09-30-solana-launch-survival","day":"2026-09-30","project":"launchledger","title":"Solana launch survival — 2026-09-30","headline":"67% of Solana launches that reached real traction were still active 1d later (n=155315).","bullets":["1d: 67% still active (n=155315) — LP removed 39583, collapsed 8976, inactive 2633","7d: 0.3% still active (n=160375) — LP removed 37986, collapsed 9114, inactive 112847","30d: 0.1% still active (n=102682) — LP removed 22599, collapsed 5575, inactive 74426","Cohort rule: a pool is followed only after it crosses $5k liquidity or $1k 24h volume — 179646 followed out of 388577 seen.","Outcomes are mechanical (liquidity vs in-window peak + 24h volume). Features are frozen at discovery, so the set has no lookahead."],"sample_n":155315,"payload":{"horizons":[{"horizon_days":1,"active":104123,"lp_removed":39583,"collapsed":8976,"inactive":2633,"decided":155315},{"horizon_days":7,"active":428,"lp_removed":37986,"collapsed":9114,"inactive":112847,"decided":160375},{"horizon_days":30,"active":82,"lp_removed":22599,"collapsed":5575,"inactive":74426,"decided":102682}],"cohort":179646,"seen":388577},"x_text":"Solana launch survival, 2026-09-30:\n\n1d — 67% still active (n=155315)\n7d — 0.3% still active (n=160375)\n30d — 0.1% still active (n=102682)\n\nOnly pools that crossed real traction are tracked. Outcomes are mechanical, features frozen at discovery.\nhttps://data.ochinimus.app/r/2026-09-30-solana-launch-survival","created_ts":1790751602}