{"id":318,"slug":"2026-10-02-solana-launch-survival","day":"2026-10-02","project":"launchledger","title":"Solana launch survival — 2026-10-02","headline":"66.9% of Solana launches that reached real traction were still active 1d later (n=159821).","bullets":["1d: 66.9% still active (n=159821) — LP removed 40911, collapsed 9200, inactive 2764","7d: 0.3% still active (n=165802) — LP removed 39091, collapsed 9372, inactive 116896","30d: 0.1% still active (n=107903) — LP removed 23927, collapsed 5843, inactive 78048","Cohort rule: a pool is followed only after it crosses $5k liquidity or $1k 24h volume — 184957 followed out of 399730 seen.","Outcomes are mechanical (liquidity vs in-window peak + 24h volume). Features are frozen at discovery, so the set has no lookahead."],"sample_n":159821,"payload":{"horizons":[{"horizon_days":1,"active":106946,"lp_removed":40911,"collapsed":9200,"inactive":2764,"decided":159821},{"horizon_days":7,"active":443,"lp_removed":39091,"collapsed":9372,"inactive":116896,"decided":165802},{"horizon_days":30,"active":85,"lp_removed":23927,"collapsed":5843,"inactive":78048,"decided":107903}],"cohort":184957,"seen":399730},"x_text":"Solana launch survival, 2026-10-02:\n\n1d — 66.9% still active (n=159821)\n7d — 0.3% still active (n=165802)\n30d — 0.1% still active (n=107903)\n\nOnly pools that crossed real traction are tracked. Outcomes are mechanical, features frozen at discovery.\nhttps://data.ochinimus.app/r/2026-10-02-solana-launch-survival","created_ts":1790924401}