{"id":323,"slug":"2026-10-03-solana-launch-survival","day":"2026-10-03","project":"launchledger","title":"Solana launch survival — 2026-10-03","headline":"66.9% of Solana launches that reached real traction were still active 1d later (n=162114).","bullets":["1d: 66.9% still active (n=162114) — LP removed 41497, collapsed 9315, inactive 2823","7d: 0.3% still active (n=168383) — LP removed 39572, collapsed 9515, inactive 118847","30d: 0.1% still active (n=110321) — LP removed 24592, collapsed 5973, inactive 79671","Cohort rule: a pool is followed only after it crosses $5k liquidity or $1k 24h volume — 187473 followed out of 405256 seen.","Outcomes are mechanical (liquidity vs in-window peak + 24h volume). Features are frozen at discovery, so the set has no lookahead."],"sample_n":162114,"payload":{"horizons":[{"horizon_days":1,"active":108479,"lp_removed":41497,"collapsed":9315,"inactive":2823,"decided":162114},{"horizon_days":7,"active":449,"lp_removed":39572,"collapsed":9515,"inactive":118847,"decided":168383},{"horizon_days":30,"active":85,"lp_removed":24592,"collapsed":5973,"inactive":79671,"decided":110321}],"cohort":187473,"seen":405256},"x_text":"Solana launch survival, 2026-10-03:\n\n1d — 66.9% still active (n=162114)\n7d — 0.3% still active (n=168383)\n30d — 0.1% still active (n=110321)\n\nOnly pools that crossed real traction are tracked. Outcomes are mechanical, features frozen at discovery.\nhttps://data.ochinimus.app/r/2026-10-03-solana-launch-survival","created_ts":1791010802}