{"id":328,"slug":"2026-10-04-solana-launch-survival","day":"2026-10-04","project":"launchledger","title":"Solana launch survival — 2026-10-04","headline":"66.8% of Solana launches that reached real traction were still active 1d later (n=164262).","bullets":["1d: 66.8% still active (n=164262) — LP removed 42143, collapsed 9445, inactive 2876","7d: 0.3% still active (n=171143) — LP removed 40213, collapsed 9652, inactive 120824","30d: 0.1% still active (n=112799) — LP removed 25115, collapsed 6085, inactive 81513","Cohort rule: a pool is followed only after it crosses $5k liquidity or $1k 24h volume — 189956 followed out of 410810 seen.","Outcomes are mechanical (liquidity vs in-window peak + 24h volume). Features are frozen at discovery, so the set has no lookahead."],"sample_n":164262,"payload":{"horizons":[{"horizon_days":1,"active":109798,"lp_removed":42143,"collapsed":9445,"inactive":2876,"decided":164262},{"horizon_days":7,"active":454,"lp_removed":40213,"collapsed":9652,"inactive":120824,"decided":171143},{"horizon_days":30,"active":86,"lp_removed":25115,"collapsed":6085,"inactive":81513,"decided":112799}],"cohort":189956,"seen":410810},"x_text":"Solana launch survival, 2026-10-04:\n\n1d — 66.8% still active (n=164262)\n7d — 0.3% still active (n=171143)\n30d — 0.1% still active (n=112799)\n\nOnly pools that crossed real traction are tracked. Outcomes are mechanical, features frozen at discovery.\nhttps://data.ochinimus.app/r/2026-10-04-solana-launch-survival","created_ts":1791097201}