{"id":338,"slug":"2026-10-06-solana-launch-survival","day":"2026-10-06","project":"launchledger","title":"Solana launch survival — 2026-10-06","headline":"66.6% of Solana launches that reached real traction were still active 1d later (n=168448).","bullets":["1d: 66.6% still active (n=168448) — LP removed 43515, collapsed 9707, inactive 2977","7d: 0.3% still active (n=176398) — LP removed 41485, collapsed 9947, inactive 124503","30d: 0.1% still active (n=117521) — LP removed 26462, collapsed 6370, inactive 84598","Cohort rule: a pool is followed only after it crosses $5k liquidity or $1k 24h volume — 195030 followed out of 422029 seen.","Outcomes are mechanical (liquidity vs in-window peak + 24h volume). Features are frozen at discovery, so the set has no lookahead."],"sample_n":168448,"payload":{"horizons":[{"horizon_days":1,"active":112249,"lp_removed":43515,"collapsed":9707,"inactive":2977,"decided":168448},{"horizon_days":7,"active":463,"lp_removed":41485,"collapsed":9947,"inactive":124503,"decided":176398},{"horizon_days":30,"active":91,"lp_removed":26462,"collapsed":6370,"inactive":84598,"decided":117521}],"cohort":195030,"seen":422029},"x_text":"Solana launch survival, 2026-10-06:\n\n1d — 66.6% still active (n=168448)\n7d — 0.3% still active (n=176398)\n30d — 0.1% still active (n=117521)\n\nOnly pools that crossed real traction are tracked. Outcomes are mechanical, features frozen at discovery.\nhttps://data.ochinimus.app/r/2026-10-06-solana-launch-survival","created_ts":1791270002}