{"id":343,"slug":"2026-10-07-solana-launch-survival","day":"2026-10-07","project":"launchledger","title":"Solana launch survival — 2026-10-07","headline":"66.6% of Solana launches that reached real traction were still active 1d later (n=170832).","bullets":["1d: 66.6% still active (n=170832) — LP removed 44232, collapsed 9815, inactive 3033","7d: 0.3% still active (n=178926) — LP removed 42143, collapsed 10065, inactive 126245","30d: 0.1% still active (n=119948) — LP removed 27135, collapsed 6525, inactive 86190","Cohort rule: a pool is followed only after it crosses $5k liquidity or $1k 24h volume — 197823 followed out of 428153 seen.","Outcomes are mechanical (liquidity vs in-window peak + 24h volume). Features are frozen at discovery, so the set has no lookahead."],"sample_n":170832,"payload":{"horizons":[{"horizon_days":1,"active":113752,"lp_removed":44232,"collapsed":9815,"inactive":3033,"decided":170832},{"horizon_days":7,"active":473,"lp_removed":42143,"collapsed":10065,"inactive":126245,"decided":178926},{"horizon_days":30,"active":98,"lp_removed":27135,"collapsed":6525,"inactive":86190,"decided":119948}],"cohort":197823,"seen":428153},"x_text":"Solana launch survival, 2026-10-07:\n\n1d — 66.6% still active (n=170832)\n7d — 0.3% still active (n=178926)\n30d — 0.1% still active (n=119948)\n\nOnly pools that crossed real traction are tracked. Outcomes are mechanical, features frozen at discovery.\nhttps://data.ochinimus.app/r/2026-10-07-solana-launch-survival","created_ts":1791356401}