{"id":353,"slug":"2026-10-09-solana-launch-survival","day":"2026-10-09","project":"launchledger","title":"Solana launch survival — 2026-10-09","headline":"66.5% of Solana launches that reached real traction were still active 1d later (n=175503).","bullets":["1d: 66.5% still active (n=175503) — LP removed 45525, collapsed 10138, inactive 3152","7d: 0.3% still active (n=184190) — LP removed 43414, collapsed 10335, inactive 129954","30d: 0.1% still active (n=124981) — LP removed 28326, collapsed 6839, inactive 89716","Cohort rule: a pool is followed only after it crosses $5k liquidity or $1k 24h volume — 203197 followed out of 440067 seen.","Outcomes are mechanical (liquidity vs in-window peak + 24h volume). Features are frozen at discovery, so the set has no lookahead."],"sample_n":175503,"payload":{"horizons":[{"horizon_days":1,"active":116688,"lp_removed":45525,"collapsed":10138,"inactive":3152,"decided":175503},{"horizon_days":7,"active":487,"lp_removed":43414,"collapsed":10335,"inactive":129954,"decided":184190},{"horizon_days":30,"active":100,"lp_removed":28326,"collapsed":6839,"inactive":89716,"decided":124981}],"cohort":203197,"seen":440067},"x_text":"Solana launch survival, 2026-10-09:\n\n1d — 66.5% still active (n=175503)\n7d — 0.3% still active (n=184190)\n30d — 0.1% still active (n=124981)\n\nOnly pools that crossed real traction are tracked. Outcomes are mechanical, features frozen at discovery.\nhttps://data.ochinimus.app/r/2026-10-09-solana-launch-survival","created_ts":1791529202}