{"id":363,"slug":"2026-10-11-solana-launch-survival","day":"2026-10-11","project":"launchledger","title":"Solana launch survival — 2026-10-11","headline":"66.5% of Solana launches that reached real traction were still active 1d later (n=180136).","bullets":["1d: 66.5% still active (n=180136) — LP removed 46748, collapsed 10385, inactive 3247","7d: 0.3% still active (n=189144) — LP removed 44753, collapsed 10637, inactive 133257","30d: 0.1% still active (n=130079) — LP removed 29660, collapsed 7172, inactive 93143","Cohort rule: a pool is followed only after it crosses $5k liquidity or $1k 24h volume — 208704 followed out of 452271 seen.","Outcomes are mechanical (liquidity vs in-window peak + 24h volume). Features are frozen at discovery, so the set has no lookahead."],"sample_n":180136,"payload":{"horizons":[{"horizon_days":1,"active":119756,"lp_removed":46748,"collapsed":10385,"inactive":3247,"decided":180136},{"horizon_days":7,"active":497,"lp_removed":44753,"collapsed":10637,"inactive":133257,"decided":189144},{"horizon_days":30,"active":104,"lp_removed":29660,"collapsed":7172,"inactive":93143,"decided":130079}],"cohort":208704,"seen":452271},"x_text":"Solana launch survival, 2026-10-11:\n\n1d — 66.5% still active (n=180136)\n7d — 0.3% still active (n=189144)\n30d — 0.1% still active (n=130079)\n\nOnly pools that crossed real traction are tracked. Outcomes are mechanical, features frozen at discovery.\nhttps://data.ochinimus.app/r/2026-10-11-solana-launch-survival","created_ts":1791702001}