{"id":368,"slug":"2026-10-12-solana-launch-survival","day":"2026-10-12","project":"launchledger","title":"Solana launch survival — 2026-10-12","headline":"66.5% of Solana launches that reached real traction were still active 1d later (n=182476).","bullets":["1d: 66.5% still active (n=182476) — LP removed 47398, collapsed 10510, inactive 3281","7d: 0.3% still active (n=191505) — LP removed 45443, collapsed 10774, inactive 134786","30d: 0.1% still active (n=132633) — LP removed 30421, collapsed 7310, inactive 94797","Cohort rule: a pool is followed only after it crosses $5k liquidity or $1k 24h volume — 211661 followed out of 458396 seen.","Outcomes are mechanical (liquidity vs in-window peak + 24h volume). Features are frozen at discovery, so the set has no lookahead."],"sample_n":182476,"payload":{"horizons":[{"horizon_days":1,"active":121287,"lp_removed":47398,"collapsed":10510,"inactive":3281,"decided":182476},{"horizon_days":7,"active":502,"lp_removed":45443,"collapsed":10774,"inactive":134786,"decided":191505},{"horizon_days":30,"active":105,"lp_removed":30421,"collapsed":7310,"inactive":94797,"decided":132633}],"cohort":211661,"seen":458396},"x_text":"Solana launch survival, 2026-10-12:\n\n1d — 66.5% still active (n=182476)\n7d — 0.3% still active (n=191505)\n30d — 0.1% still active (n=132633)\n\nOnly pools that crossed real traction are tracked. Outcomes are mechanical, features frozen at discovery.\nhttps://data.ochinimus.app/r/2026-10-12-solana-launch-survival","created_ts":1791788402}