{"id":383,"slug":"2026-10-15-solana-launch-survival","day":"2026-10-15","project":"launchledger","title":"Solana launch survival — 2026-10-15","headline":"66.6% of Solana launches that reached real traction were still active 1d later (n=189946).","bullets":["1d: 66.6% still active (n=189946) — LP removed 49140, collapsed 10909, inactive 3383","7d: 0.3% still active (n=199746) — LP removed 47480, collapsed 11265, inactive 140481","30d: 0.1% still active (n=140047) — LP removed 32780, collapsed 7770, inactive 99387","Cohort rule: a pool is followed only after it crosses $5k liquidity or $1k 24h volume — 220316 followed out of 476314 seen.","Outcomes are mechanical (liquidity vs in-window peak + 24h volume). Features are frozen at discovery, so the set has no lookahead."],"sample_n":189946,"payload":{"horizons":[{"horizon_days":1,"active":126514,"lp_removed":49140,"collapsed":10909,"inactive":3383,"decided":189946},{"horizon_days":7,"active":520,"lp_removed":47480,"collapsed":11265,"inactive":140481,"decided":199746},{"horizon_days":30,"active":110,"lp_removed":32780,"collapsed":7770,"inactive":99387,"decided":140047}],"cohort":220316,"seen":476314},"x_text":"Solana launch survival, 2026-10-15:\n\n1d — 66.6% still active (n=189946)\n7d — 0.3% still active (n=199746)\n30d — 0.1% still active (n=140047)\n\nOnly pools that crossed real traction are tracked. Outcomes are mechanical, features frozen at discovery.\nhttps://data.ochinimus.app/r/2026-10-15-solana-launch-survival","created_ts":1792047601}