{"id":388,"slug":"2026-10-16-solana-launch-survival","day":"2026-10-16","project":"launchledger","title":"Solana launch survival — 2026-10-16","headline":"66.6% of Solana launches that reached real traction were still active 1d later (n=192481).","bullets":["1d: 66.6% still active (n=192481) — LP removed 49877, collapsed 11063, inactive 3405","7d: 0.3% still active (n=202344) — LP removed 48188, collapsed 11396, inactive 142235","30d: 0.1% still active (n=142537) — LP removed 33383, collapsed 7902, inactive 101141","Cohort rule: a pool is followed only after it crosses $5k liquidity or $1k 24h volume — 223178 followed out of 482281 seen.","Outcomes are mechanical (liquidity vs in-window peak + 24h volume). Features are frozen at discovery, so the set has no lookahead."],"sample_n":192481,"payload":{"horizons":[{"horizon_days":1,"active":128136,"lp_removed":49877,"collapsed":11063,"inactive":3405,"decided":192481},{"horizon_days":7,"active":525,"lp_removed":48188,"collapsed":11396,"inactive":142235,"decided":202344},{"horizon_days":30,"active":111,"lp_removed":33383,"collapsed":7902,"inactive":101141,"decided":142537}],"cohort":223178,"seen":482281},"x_text":"Solana launch survival, 2026-10-16:\n\n1d — 66.6% still active (n=192481)\n7d — 0.3% still active (n=202344)\n30d — 0.1% still active (n=142537)\n\nOnly pools that crossed real traction are tracked. Outcomes are mechanical, features frozen at discovery.\nhttps://data.ochinimus.app/r/2026-10-16-solana-launch-survival","created_ts":1792134002}