{"id":403,"slug":"2026-10-19-solana-launch-survival","day":"2026-10-19","project":"launchledger","title":"Solana launch survival — 2026-10-19","headline":"66.6% of Solana launches that reached real traction were still active 1d later (n=199792).","bullets":["1d: 66.6% still active (n=199792) — LP removed 51652, collapsed 11416, inactive 3564","7d: 0.3% still active (n=210796) — LP removed 50025, collapsed 11822, inactive 148401","30d: 0.1% still active (n=150433) — LP removed 36084, collapsed 8520, inactive 105714","Cohort rule: a pool is followed only after it crosses $5k liquidity or $1k 24h volume — 231465 followed out of 499572 seen.","Outcomes are mechanical (liquidity vs in-window peak + 24h volume). Features are frozen at discovery, so the set has no lookahead."],"sample_n":199792,"payload":{"horizons":[{"horizon_days":1,"active":133160,"lp_removed":51652,"collapsed":11416,"inactive":3564,"decided":199792},{"horizon_days":7,"active":548,"lp_removed":50025,"collapsed":11822,"inactive":148401,"decided":210796},{"horizon_days":30,"active":115,"lp_removed":36084,"collapsed":8520,"inactive":105714,"decided":150433}],"cohort":231465,"seen":499572},"x_text":"Solana launch survival, 2026-10-19:\n\n1d — 66.6% still active (n=199792)\n7d — 0.3% still active (n=210796)\n30d — 0.1% still active (n=150433)\n\nOnly pools that crossed real traction are tracked. Outcomes are mechanical, features frozen at discovery.\nhttps://data.ochinimus.app/r/2026-10-19-solana-launch-survival","created_ts":1792393202}