{"id":413,"slug":"2026-10-21-solana-launch-survival","day":"2026-10-21","project":"launchledger","title":"Solana launch survival — 2026-10-21","headline":"66.7% of Solana launches that reached real traction were still active 1d later (n=204605).","bullets":["1d: 66.7% still active (n=204605) — LP removed 52858, collapsed 11648, inactive 3629","7d: 0.3% still active (n=216563) — LP removed 51167, collapsed 12130, inactive 152701","30d: 0.1% still active (n=155467) — LP removed 37624, collapsed 8829, inactive 108892","90d: 0.1% still active (n=1808) — LP removed 485, collapsed 130, inactive 1192","Cohort rule: a pool is followed only after it crosses $5k liquidity or $1k 24h volume — 236782 followed out of 510381 seen.","Outcomes are mechanical (liquidity vs in-window peak + 24h volume). Features are frozen at discovery, so the set has no lookahead."],"sample_n":204605,"payload":{"horizons":[{"horizon_days":1,"active":136470,"lp_removed":52858,"collapsed":11648,"inactive":3629,"decided":204605},{"horizon_days":7,"active":565,"lp_removed":51167,"collapsed":12130,"inactive":152701,"decided":216563},{"horizon_days":30,"active":122,"lp_removed":37624,"collapsed":8829,"inactive":108892,"decided":155467},{"horizon_days":90,"active":1,"lp_removed":485,"collapsed":130,"inactive":1192,"decided":1808}],"cohort":236782,"seen":510381},"x_text":"Solana launch survival, 2026-10-21:\n\n1d — 66.7% still active (n=204605)\n7d — 0.3% still active (n=216563)\n30d — 0.1% still active (n=155467)\n90d — 0.1% still active (n=1808)\n\nOnly pools that crossed real traction are tracked. Outcomes are mechanical, features frozen at discovery.\nhttps://data.ochinimus.app/r/2026-10-21-solana-launch-survival","created_ts":1792566002}