{"id":418,"slug":"2026-10-22-solana-launch-survival","day":"2026-10-22","project":"launchledger","title":"Solana launch survival — 2026-10-22","headline":"66.7% of Solana launches that reached real traction were still active 1d later (n=206816).","bullets":["1d: 66.7% still active (n=206816) — LP removed 53401, collapsed 11757, inactive 3659","7d: 0.3% still active (n=219414) — LP removed 51909, collapsed 12288, inactive 154646","30d: 0.1% still active (n=158151) — LP removed 38293, collapsed 8996, inactive 110736","90d: 0.1% still active (n=4734) — LP removed 1346, collapsed 328, inactive 3057","Cohort rule: a pool is followed only after it crosses $5k liquidity or $1k 24h volume — 239494 followed out of 515900 seen.","Outcomes are mechanical (liquidity vs in-window peak + 24h volume). Features are frozen at discovery, so the set has no lookahead."],"sample_n":206816,"payload":{"horizons":[{"horizon_days":1,"active":137999,"lp_removed":53401,"collapsed":11757,"inactive":3659,"decided":206816},{"horizon_days":7,"active":571,"lp_removed":51909,"collapsed":12288,"inactive":154646,"decided":219414},{"horizon_days":30,"active":126,"lp_removed":38293,"collapsed":8996,"inactive":110736,"decided":158151},{"horizon_days":90,"active":3,"lp_removed":1346,"collapsed":328,"inactive":3057,"decided":4734}],"cohort":239494,"seen":515900},"x_text":"Solana launch survival, 2026-10-22:\n\n1d — 66.7% still active (n=206816)\n7d — 0.3% still active (n=219414)\n30d — 0.1% still active (n=158151)\n90d — 0.1% still active (n=4734)\n\nOnly pools that crossed real traction are tracked. Outcomes are mechanical, features frozen at discovery.\nhttps://data.ochinimus.app/r/2026-10-22-solana-launch-survival","created_ts":1792652401}