{"id":423,"slug":"2026-10-23-solana-launch-survival","day":"2026-10-23","project":"launchledger","title":"Solana launch survival — 2026-10-23","headline":"66.8% of Solana launches that reached real traction were still active 1d later (n=209178).","bullets":["1d: 66.8% still active (n=209178) — LP removed 53970, collapsed 11877, inactive 3701","7d: 0.3% still active (n=222240) — LP removed 52529, collapsed 12429, inactive 156704","30d: 0.1% still active (n=160764) — LP removed 38917, collapsed 9149, inactive 112568","90d: 0.1% still active (n=7486) — LP removed 2098, collapsed 524, inactive 4860","Cohort rule: a pool is followed only after it crosses $5k liquidity or $1k 24h volume — 242132 followed out of 521507 seen.","Outcomes are mechanical (liquidity vs in-window peak + 24h volume). Features are frozen at discovery, so the set has no lookahead."],"sample_n":209178,"payload":{"horizons":[{"horizon_days":1,"active":139630,"lp_removed":53970,"collapsed":11877,"inactive":3701,"decided":209178},{"horizon_days":7,"active":578,"lp_removed":52529,"collapsed":12429,"inactive":156704,"decided":222240},{"horizon_days":30,"active":130,"lp_removed":38917,"collapsed":9149,"inactive":112568,"decided":160764},{"horizon_days":90,"active":4,"lp_removed":2098,"collapsed":524,"inactive":4860,"decided":7486}],"cohort":242132,"seen":521507},"x_text":"Solana launch survival, 2026-10-23:\n\n1d — 66.8% still active (n=209178)\n7d — 0.3% still active (n=222240)\n30d — 0.1% still active (n=160764)\n90d — 0.1% still active (n=7486)\n\nOnly pools that crossed real traction are tracked. Outcomes are mechanical, features frozen at discovery.\nhttps://data.ochinimus.app/r/2026-10-23-solana-launch-survival","created_ts":1792738801}