{"id":458,"slug":"2026-10-30-solana-launch-survival","day":"2026-10-30","project":"launchledger","title":"Solana launch survival — 2026-10-30","headline":"66.7% of Solana launches that reached real traction were still active 1d later (n=224920).","bullets":["1d: 66.7% still active (n=224920) — LP removed 58318, collapsed 12692, inactive 3959","7d: 0.3% still active (n=241093) — LP removed 56673, collapsed 13367, inactive 170429","30d: 0.1% still active (n=179358) — LP removed 43183, collapsed 10152, inactive 125882","90d: 0% still active (n=26235) — LP removed 6957, collapsed 1523, inactive 17744","Cohort rule: a pool is followed only after it crosses $5k liquidity or $1k 24h volume — 260118 followed out of 559839 seen.","Outcomes are mechanical (liquidity vs in-window peak + 24h volume). Features are frozen at discovery, so the set has no lookahead."],"sample_n":224920,"payload":{"horizons":[{"horizon_days":1,"active":149951,"lp_removed":58318,"collapsed":12692,"inactive":3959,"decided":224920},{"horizon_days":7,"active":624,"lp_removed":56673,"collapsed":13367,"inactive":170429,"decided":241093},{"horizon_days":30,"active":141,"lp_removed":43183,"collapsed":10152,"inactive":125882,"decided":179358},{"horizon_days":90,"active":11,"lp_removed":6957,"collapsed":1523,"inactive":17744,"decided":26235}],"cohort":260118,"seen":559839},"x_text":"Solana launch survival, 2026-10-30:\n\n1d — 66.7% still active (n=224920)\n7d — 0.3% still active (n=241093)\n30d — 0.1% still active (n=179358)\n90d — 0% still active (n=26235)\n\nOnly pools that crossed real traction are tracked. Outcomes are mechanical, features frozen at discovery.\nhttps://data.ochinimus.app/r/2026-10-30-solana-launch-survival","created_ts":1793343601}