{"id":463,"slug":"2026-10-31-solana-launch-survival","day":"2026-10-31","project":"launchledger","title":"Solana launch survival — 2026-10-31","headline":"66.7% of Solana launches that reached real traction were still active 1d later (n=227221).","bullets":["1d: 66.7% still active (n=227221) — LP removed 58973, collapsed 12799, inactive 3973","7d: 0.3% still active (n=243672) — LP removed 57227, collapsed 13505, inactive 172313","30d: 0.1% still active (n=181997) — LP removed 43858, collapsed 10287, inactive 127708","90d: 0% still active (n=28786) — LP removed 7552, collapsed 1651, inactive 19569","Cohort rule: a pool is followed only after it crosses $5k liquidity or $1k 24h volume — 262654 followed out of 565338 seen.","Outcomes are mechanical (liquidity vs in-window peak + 24h volume). Features are frozen at discovery, so the set has no lookahead."],"sample_n":227221,"payload":{"horizons":[{"horizon_days":1,"active":151476,"lp_removed":58973,"collapsed":12799,"inactive":3973,"decided":227221},{"horizon_days":7,"active":627,"lp_removed":57227,"collapsed":13505,"inactive":172313,"decided":243672},{"horizon_days":30,"active":144,"lp_removed":43858,"collapsed":10287,"inactive":127708,"decided":181997},{"horizon_days":90,"active":14,"lp_removed":7552,"collapsed":1651,"inactive":19569,"decided":28786}],"cohort":262654,"seen":565338},"x_text":"Solana launch survival, 2026-10-31:\n\n1d — 66.7% still active (n=227221)\n7d — 0.3% still active (n=243672)\n30d — 0.1% still active (n=181997)\n90d — 0% still active (n=28786)\n\nOnly pools that crossed real traction are tracked. Outcomes are mechanical, features frozen at discovery.\nhttps://data.ochinimus.app/r/2026-10-31-solana-launch-survival","created_ts":1793430001}