{"id":473,"slug":"2026-11-02-solana-launch-survival","day":"2026-11-02","project":"launchledger","title":"Solana launch survival — 2026-11-02","headline":"66.5% of Solana launches that reached real traction were still active 1d later (n=231642).","bullets":["1d: 66.5% still active (n=231642) — LP removed 60429, collapsed 13050, inactive 4068","7d: 0.3% still active (n=248498) — LP removed 58562, collapsed 13756, inactive 175544","30d: 0.1% still active (n=187170) — LP removed 45137, collapsed 10594, inactive 131292","90d: 0.1% still active (n=33672) — LP removed 8619, collapsed 1888, inactive 23148","Cohort rule: a pool is followed only after it crosses $5k liquidity or $1k 24h volume — 267753 followed out of 576436 seen.","Outcomes are mechanical (liquidity vs in-window peak + 24h volume). Features are frozen at discovery, so the set has no lookahead."],"sample_n":231642,"payload":{"horizons":[{"horizon_days":1,"active":154095,"lp_removed":60429,"collapsed":13050,"inactive":4068,"decided":231642},{"horizon_days":7,"active":636,"lp_removed":58562,"collapsed":13756,"inactive":175544,"decided":248498},{"horizon_days":30,"active":147,"lp_removed":45137,"collapsed":10594,"inactive":131292,"decided":187170},{"horizon_days":90,"active":17,"lp_removed":8619,"collapsed":1888,"inactive":23148,"decided":33672}],"cohort":267753,"seen":576436},"x_text":"Solana launch survival, 2026-11-02:\n\n1d — 66.5% still active (n=231642)\n7d — 0.3% still active (n=248498)\n30d — 0.1% still active (n=187170)\n90d — 0.1% still active (n=33672)\n\nOnly pools that crossed real traction are tracked. Outcomes are mechanical, features frozen at discovery.\nhttps://data.ochinimus.app/r/2026-11-02-solana-launch-survival","created_ts":1793602802}