{"id":478,"slug":"2026-11-03-solana-launch-survival","day":"2026-11-03","project":"launchledger","title":"Solana launch survival — 2026-11-03","headline":"66.5% of Solana launches that reached real traction were still active 1d later (n=233870).","bullets":["1d: 66.5% still active (n=233870) — LP removed 61137, collapsed 13160, inactive 4125","7d: 0.3% still active (n=251124) — LP removed 59154, collapsed 13903, inactive 177429","30d: 0.1% still active (n=189621) — LP removed 45834, collapsed 10755, inactive 132884","90d: 0% still active (n=35947) — LP removed 9088, collapsed 2006, inactive 24836","Cohort rule: a pool is followed only after it crosses $5k liquidity or $1k 24h volume — 270469 followed out of 581962 seen.","Outcomes are mechanical (liquidity vs in-window peak + 24h volume). Features are frozen at discovery, so the set has no lookahead."],"sample_n":233870,"payload":{"horizons":[{"horizon_days":1,"active":155448,"lp_removed":61137,"collapsed":13160,"inactive":4125,"decided":233870},{"horizon_days":7,"active":638,"lp_removed":59154,"collapsed":13903,"inactive":177429,"decided":251124},{"horizon_days":30,"active":148,"lp_removed":45834,"collapsed":10755,"inactive":132884,"decided":189621},{"horizon_days":90,"active":17,"lp_removed":9088,"collapsed":2006,"inactive":24836,"decided":35947}],"cohort":270469,"seen":581962},"x_text":"Solana launch survival, 2026-11-03:\n\n1d — 66.5% still active (n=233870)\n7d — 0.3% still active (n=251124)\n30d — 0.1% still active (n=189621)\n90d — 0% still active (n=35947)\n\nOnly pools that crossed real traction are tracked. Outcomes are mechanical, features frozen at discovery.\nhttps://data.ochinimus.app/r/2026-11-03-solana-launch-survival","created_ts":1793689202}